Is it a good time to buy a house in Germany now?
In the current market situation in Germany, owning a property increases your net worth. This is due to the fact that demand for housing far outweighs supply (even with interest rates on the rise) meaning property prices will most likely continue to increase in the next two years and certainly over the long term.
In the third quarter of 2023, residential property prices in Germany have fallen, in some cases significantly. Compared to the second quarter of 2023, all housing segments have become cheaper, although there are strong regional differences and outliers.
Residential property prices in Germany have fallen by their steepest decline since data collection began in 2000, with larger cities seeing harsher drops.
15-23 Reuters poll of 14 property experts forecast average home prices to drop 8.0% this year and 2.8% next, steeper than the predicted 5.6% fall in 2023 and no growth in 2024 in an August survey.
Low-interest rates have been a major factor in the attractiveness of investing in German real estate in recent years. However, it's important to note that interest rates have significantly increased since the start of 2022.
German house prices see record drop in 2023
According to figures recently published by Destatis, on average property is now 9,9 percent cheaper than during the same period in 2022. Destatis reported that the year-on-year drop is the biggest since modern records began in 2000.
The average sales price of single-family and duplex homes in the biggest cities in Germany varied between approximately 5,000 euros and 10,000 euros per square meter in the second quarter of 2023.
In comparison with other countries worldwide, the interest rates on German mortgages are relatively low, usually around 1-2% per year. To prevent anyone from taking out a mortgage they cannot afford, mortgage providers ensure that your monthly mortgage payments will not exceed 35-40% of your salary.
Seven international cities that were in the “bubble risk” zone in the 2022 Index are now in the “overvalued” category. This includes Frankfurt and Munich - the only two German cities which currently make it into the analysis - Toronto, Hong Kong, Vancouver, Amsterdam and Tel Aviv.
The value of Real Estate market is projected to reach US$36.13tn in 2023. Residential Real Estate dominates the market with a projected market volume of US$29.83tn in 2023. The value is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2023-2028) of 3.71%, resulting in a market volume of US$43.35tn by 2028.
Why is homeownership low in Germany?
Tax treatment
There's another pretty simple reason Germans are less likely to own houses. The government doesn't encourage it. Unlike high-homeownership countries like Spain, Ireland and the US, Germany doesn't let homeowners deduct mortgage-interest payments from their taxes.
Higher transaction taxes make real estate a more expensive and less liquid asset. The lack of mortgage tax deductions is tax-efficient but raises financing costs, and social housing rentals provide a low-cost alternative to homeownership.
The analysis from ImmoScout24 showed that, while demand for properties bottomed out in the third quarter, there was a slight uptick in interest from buyers in Q4. However, demand remained lower than it was in Q4 of 2019 - before the pandemic - and asking prices also dropped significantly between autumn and winter.
It goes without saying that Berlin represents currently THE PLACE to buy a property in Germany, either for investment or for self-use. The city enjoys not only an outstanding economic dynamism backed by its digital sector, but the capital of Germany is by far the most popular and international city of Germany.
If you don't live and work in Germany, you might need a deposit of at least 40% of the property's value. Some banks will require you to earn a minimum amount per year to get a mortgage (for example, €20,000), and lenders will usually require that your mortgage repayments won't be more than 35% of your monthly income.
At the right price
In other words, the margin for price negotiation in a seller's market is very slim. The only way for buyers to gain negotiating leverage is by arranging a proper inspection of the property in order to identify possible drawbacks.
Housing Index in Germany decreased to 209.91 points in October from 210.07 points in September of 2023. Housing Index in Germany averaged 134.22 points from 2005 until 2023, reaching an all time high of 224.87 points in June of 2022 and a record low of 95.50 points in May of 2009. source: Europace AG, Germany.
The mortgage interest rate in Germany decreased notably between 2013 and 2022, falling below 1.5 percent. This was part of an overall trend of falling mortgage interest rates in Europe. The mortgage interest rate in Germany has since increased to 3.28 percent in the second quarter of 2023.
Apart from cheap financing, a shortage of building materials and the resulting increase in construction costs also contributed to this trend. At the beginning of last year, buyers had to pay an average of 12.5% more for a property than they did in 2021, existing properties included.
- #1 Passau City Germany. It is a small city in southern Germany near the Austrian border. ...
- #3 Halle City Germany. Halle City is located in central Germany and spans 135 square kilometres. ...
- #4 Bielefeld City Germany. ...
- #5 Frankfurt (Oder) City Germany.
How much does it cost to live comfortably in Germany?
The average cost of living in Germany in 2023
As a basic estimate, you can expect your total costs to be between €1200 – €3000 per month as an individual living in Germany. At the cheaper end of this range, you would likely be living in a flatshare outside of the city centre.
Cost of living in Germany vs the USA
If you're a US citizen moving to Germany, you'll be pleased to know that the cost of living in Germany is about 35% cheaper than in the USA. This is because the costs of food, rent, utilities and education are significantly lower in Germany than in the USA.
How much loan / mortgage can I afford? As a rule of thumb, you just need to multiply your monthly net income by 100 to get the maximum loan amount most banks will provide to you. This amount can be 100% of the purchase price.
However, German banks are quite risk-averse when granting loans. The following two points are rather crucial when banks examine a mortgage application: Your net household income, i.e. your net income after taxes and other legally required expenses like debt payments and alimony have been deducted.
If you qualify as a permanent resident and worker (and are therefore a taxpayer) in Germany, you can apply for a mortgage to cover up to 100% of the property value. In theory, some banks even go the extra mile and offer financing with no down payment.
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